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Ecuador’s dollar bonds rallied by 1.5 points across the curve after markets warmed to the possibility of the current President, Daniel Noboa winning a second term. Noboa is considered market-friendly, and polls suggest a widening lead for him ahead of the election on February 9. Having occupied office in late-2023, Noboa pushed to address Ecuador’s fiscal and security crises, whilst also implementing austerity measures like raising taxes and cutting some government subsidies (including fossil fuels). Besides, he also helped obtain a $4bn deal with the IMF.
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