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Bond Market News
Fed’s Williams Reignites Dec Rate Cut Chances; View the Dove-Hawk Scale
November 24, 2025
New York Fed President John Williams’ dovish comments has seen markets now pricing-in a 67% chance of a 25bp rate cut in December vs. 44% a week ago. He said that there was room to lower rates again in the near-term as the labor market softens, in his view. The above table shows the evolution of the probabilities of a December rate cut over the last month.
In the table below, we have compiled a list of the FOMC’s voting members, their latest comments on the path of monetary policy ahead and thereby, their relative standing on the dove-hawk scale.
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