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Egypt’s central bank implemented its first interest rate cut since 2020, last week, reducing the overnight lending rate by 225bp to 26%. It also lowered the deposit rate to 25%, adding that more rate cuts were likely. This decision was influenced by a significant decline in inflation, which fell from a peak of 38% in September 2023 to under 14% in March 2025. The central bank anticipates inflation to moderate through 2026, supported by fiscal consolidation efforts. Additionally, preliminary data for 1Q2025 indicates economic growth exceeding the 4.3% recorded in 4Q2024, suggesting a strengthening economy. The latest rate cut follows a substantial tightening in March 2024, when policy rates were increased by 600bp and the Egyptian pound was devalued as part of an $8bn IMF support package.
Egypt’s dollar bonds were trading higher across the curve, with its 7.625% 2032s up 0.6 points at 84.2, yielding 10.9%.
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