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Bond Market News
Venezuela’s Dollar Bonds Surge on Debt Restructuring Optimism
January 6, 2026
Dollar bonds of Venezuela surged sharply by 8-9 points across the curve after the US captured President Nicolás Maduro, prompting a group of long-standing creditors to meet and assess prospects for recovering value on roughly $37bn of its outstanding dollar debt. Representatives from major asset managers, including Ashmore and GMO, struck an optimistic tone, with some expecting debt restructuring talks to resume as early as this year after nearly eight years of default and stalled negotiations under US sanctions. Investors are betting that US involvement and a potential leadership transition could pave the way for negotiations, possibly within an 18–24 month timeframe. Creditors are, however, waiting for political conditions to stabilize before formally engaging, as uncertainty remains around the interim leadership under Vice President Delcy Rodríguez and the durability of the transition. Proposals under early discussion include a single restructuring of Venezuela’s and its oil-company PDVSA’s debt and the use of oil-backed instruments to attract broader creditor support Investors however caution that the process could still be uneven and politically sensitive.
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