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Aegea Saneamento e Participações’ (Aegea) was downgraded to B+ from BB- by Fitch. The downgrade reflects a weaker financial structure and reduced financial flexibility, driven by slower-than-expected deleveraging and elevated financing costs. Fitch projects consolidated adjusted EBITDA leverage remaining around 5x and net leverage above 4x through 2028, with EBITDA interest coverage below 2x. Holding company debt stood at BRL 21.5bn ($4.1bn) as of March 2026, with deleveraging dependent on rising dividend upstreaming from subsidiaries still in ramp-up. Fitch forecasts margins of around 62%, but projects negative FCF of ~BRL 15.9bn ($3.1bn) over 2026–2028, due to planned capex of BRL 22bn ($4.2bn). However, Aegea’s business profile is said to remain solid, with monopolistic concession positions, a diversified customer base, and a transparent tariff-setting framework. Several operating subsidiaries including Corsan, Águas Guariroba, Prolagos, and Águas de Teresina — are rated above the parent, benefiting from stronger standalone credit profiles. Corsan is expected to be the primary dividend contributor due to its scale and low leverage.
It’s 6.75% 2029s were down 0.6 points to 93.8, yielding 9.2%