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Adecoagro was downgraded by one notch to BB- from BB by S&P. The downgrade reflects Adecoagro’s weakened credit profile following the acquisition of a 90% stake in Profertil SA, Argentina’s largest urea producer, for $1.1bn this month. The transaction was financed through a mix of cash, new debt and equity. As a result of the acquisition, and accounting for Adecoagro’s weaker operational performance, S&P projects the company’s leverage to rise sharply, with debt-to-EBITDA forecasted to peak at 4.7x (3.0x pro forma by end-2025), compared with 1.6x in 2024. While Profertil would add diversification and is expected to contribute meaningfully to EBITDA from 2026 onward, integration risks, higher exposure to Argentina and persistent pressure on Adecoagro’s legacy businesses remain key concerns, the rating agency noted. Mitigating factors include equity support from Tether Investments (the company’s current owner), diversified cash flows from Brazil and Uruguay, a solid dollar liquidity position and an extended maturity profile.
Adecoagro’s dollar bonds traded stable with its 7.5% 2032s at 93.4, yielding 8.85%.

